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金力永磁稀土行情簡報1649期（總第165期）12-19~12-23

JL MAG Rare-earth Industry Price Briefing12-19~12-23

2016年第52周

Week 52, 2016

1.重要新聞簡報Briefing of Important News

本周稀土市場金屬鐠釹價格有小幅下調，鏑鐵和鋱價格相對穩定。亞洲金屬網價格:鐠釹金屬335-338元/KG，鏑鐵合金價格1245-1265元/KG，鋱金屬價格3900-3950元/KG。 

This week the market price of PrNd had a slight decrease while DyFe and Tb was relatively stable. Prices from Asian Metal of this weekend presented: PrNd 335-338RMB/KG, DyFe 1245-1265RMB/KG and Tb metal 3900-3950RMB/KG.

中國有色金屬工業協會稀土分會近日在北京成立。中國有色金屬工業協會會長陳全訓在講話中表示，成立稀土分會有助于促進稀土行業持續健康發展。要破解行業困局，既需要國家產業政策給予大力扶持，也需要行業加強自律、抱團取暖，共同維護健康有序的產業發展環境。

China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association Rare Earth Branch recently has been established in Beijing. The chairman of China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association Chen Quanxun said in his speech, the establishment of rare earth branch will help to promote the sustained and healthy development of rare earth industry. To break the industry predicament not only need the national industrial policy support with great efforts, but also need strengthening industry self-regulation and jointly safeguard the healthy and orderly development environment.

2.業內人士分析Analysis of Professional Insiders

12月23日，稀土市場弱穩運行，鐠釹鏑產品有進一步下調跡象，單一氧化鈰產品小幅提價，供貨商反映是原材料成本上升傳導所致。因前期政策面推動不及預期，在年前采購訂單還未跟上之際，稀土市場觀望以待。

On December 23rd, rare earth market operated stably and weakly, PrNd and Dy products had further down signs, the price of single Cerium oxide product had slight increase, the supplier reflected it was cause by raw material price rising. Due to the early policy promoting was not as expected, the purchase order is not to meet the occasion before 2017,it take a wait-and-see attitude for rare earth market.

對于后市，市場人士看法不一，有堅定信心者；也有持觀望態度，搖擺不定者。究其根本，則是從不同的角度出發。分析當前稀土市場主要關注市場供應和下游需求情況，政策為市場提供動力支持。

For the market outlook, market views vary from different people, both have people with firm confidence and ones with wait-and-see attitude. Its fundamental is from a different point of view. Comprehensive analysis of the current rare earth market is mainly concerned about the market supply and downstream demand, the policy provides support for the market.

從供應角度看，市場可供消費的稀土產品有限，工廠現貨緊張，非法貨源減少。主要由于分離廠長期倒掛，開工率低，產量也隨著降低；今年以來包頭稀土產品交易所在市場上收吸收了一部分工廠庫存；稀土商儲、國儲對庫存的有效吸收；稀土“打黑"專項行動對非法產能產量的遏制。

From the supply point of view, the market available for consumption of rare earth products is limited, factory spot tight, illegal supply reduced. Mainly because of the separation of plant long-term upside down, low operation rate, yield reduced. Baotou Rare Earth Products Exchange absorbed part of the factory stock from this year; the effective absorption of inventory for rare earth business reserve and national reserve; rare earth special action for curbing illegal production capacity.

需求層面，粗略估計今年釹鐵硼毛坯產量在12萬噸左右，呈現連續增加的趨勢，對鐠釹市場需求也是逐年遞增；今年以來，出口形勢一片大好，國際需求增加，尤其在人民幣貶值的帶動下，對出口有更大的刺激作用。

From the level of demand, a rough estimation of NdFeB block production this year is around 120 thousand tons, showing a continuous increasing trend, market demand of praseodymium neodymium is increasing year by year; the export situation is excellent from this year, international demand increases, especially driving in the devaluation of RMB, it has a greater stimulating effect on export.

政策層面，供給側結構性改革有望縮減稀土行業產能，稀土行業十三五規劃顯示，冶煉分離產能在十三五期間由35萬噸壓縮至20萬噸；稀土專項打黑行動開啟，各地方嚴格重視此次行動，預計成效也較以往更大。

From the policy level, the supply side structural reform is expected to reduce production capacity of rare earth industry, rare earth industry shows in the 13th Five-Year-Plan, smelting and separation capacity during 13th Five-Year-Plan is condensed from 350 thousand tons to 200 thousand tons; rare earth special crackdown action has been fully opened with unprecedented efforts. Each place strict attention to the operation, is expected to get a greater result.

市場走勢更多地體現了市場參與者的信心，目前來看，市場參與者應堅定信心，同時謹慎操作，看準市場拐點，在政策的推動下，稀土市場長期向好，不排除短期出現小幅波動的可能。

The market trend shows more confidence of market participants, at present, market participants should be confident firmly, and with prudent operation, successfully target the market inflection point, under the impetus of the policy, the long-term rare earth market is in good trend, the possibility of fluctuation in short term cannot be ruled out.

3.趨勢圖（參考亞洲金屬網）Tendency Chart (refer to Asian Metal)

2016年12月23日

Dec. 23, 2016

提示：以上信息僅供參考！

Notes: the information above is for reference only!